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January 06, 2011

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proales

Really looking forward to the series...

Harry DeMott

Really good post - and some good food for thought.

I've been musing on that for a while as regards the VC space.

For the longest time - there were few VC's and access to them was difficult - and building companies cost a ton of $ before you knew whether or not you were going to have traction.

Ten years on and there are a ton of VC's and the cost of finding out whether you are right or not is minimal.

So, going forward, what are they key attributes that will determine the success or failure of a VC?

To start with I think you will need access to deals. This hasn't changed in years. Your network will matter more and more - particularly as the opportunity to invest real $'s will be crimped by limited raises necessary.

Second, you will need to be able to evaluate and invest quickly. That means having fewer analysts and more partners - as well as a streamlined decision making process. You will need committed capital ready to go.

Both of these factors are similar to the past - but that is where the similarities end.

In the future I think the number one differentiator will be what else VC's can do for their companies. Not just being a financial partner - which they all are - but can they be a business partner. How can you help accelerate their growth? How can you help them partner with your network to get to cash flow break even and beyond without any additional capital being put it? How many contacts do the VC's have outside of Google or Facebook? Sure these guys are important - but more and more, new companies are having to forge relationships with non-tech companies - and understand these companies and having relationships there are more and more important.

Also, as a GP, can you act as a risk manager. in the public markets, fund managers are constantly measuring risk and reward. For most VC's once they are in - the money is gone and there's no getting out - and the incentives are skewed wildly to staying in a failing investment. Portfolio returns might be a heck of a lot better if VC's understood the concept of risk management. With secondary markets for shares emerging - and the ability to lay off - or add risk - managers should be able to produce far fewer donuts - dramatically adding to the overall fund performance.

Finally, in what may be a strange question, I think you have to ask whether the people coming in for investments are actually good investors. Plenty of people have become angels and have had some moderate success with a small capital base - but have they successfully been able to invest over the last decade? the last 2 decades? Have they been able to invest across the capital structure - recognizing when to invest and when to pull back? Sounds strange - but important questions.

If I'm in the business of investing in VC's those are the points I am going to dig in on.

Chris Douvos

@Harry:
It's amazing how little some people pay to the "investing skills" of PE people. Alas, there aren't enough "principals" and too many "agents" (or even dilettantes) for my taste . . .

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